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Record
42-41-5
Units
-0.56u
ROI
-0.7%
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Feb 25

๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€AJ DybantsaBYU
Win
Under30.5Points
-119 prizepicks ยท 1u
+10.4% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Dybantsa's usage rate has been trending down in recent games while the betting public is still pricing him like he's getting unlimited touches. โšก The Play Taking the under on a hyped freshman whose role is more limited than the market realizes.
Actual: 29Line: 30.5
Feb 24 ยท 2:50 PM ETView on X

Feb 11

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๐Ÿ€John BlackwellWISC
Win
Under5.5Rebounds
-145 FanDuel ยท 1u
+8.9% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Blackwell's minutes have been capped lately and his rebounding rate drops significantly in conference play. โšก The Play The model shows him falling short of this inflated number with his limited floor time against a team that controls the glass.
Actual: 3Line: 5.5
Feb 10 ยท 3:02 PM ETView on X

Feb 3

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๐Ÿ€J.J. StarlingSYR
Lose
Under13.5Points
-115 FanDuel ยท 1u
+6.2% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Starling's usage has been trending down lately while our models show his ceiling capped in what projects as a grind-it-out spot. โšก The Play Taking the under on a guard whose recent shot selection and minutes distribution suggest he's settling into a more limited offensive role.
Actual: 13Line: 13.5
Feb 2 ยท 9:38 AM ETView on X

Jan 31

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๐Ÿ€Jaylin SellersPROV
Win
Under16.5Points
-130 FanDuel ยท 1u
+6.1% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE The market is overvaluing Sellers' scoring ceiling after a couple outlier performances, but our models see significant regression coming. ๐Ÿ”ฅ Recent Form Sellers has been inconsistent with his shot selection lately, forcing difficult looks and seeing his efficiency metrics trending downward over his last several outings. ๐Ÿ“Š Matchup Factor Tonight's opponent has been locking down opposing guards at the point of attack, particularly limiting penetration and creating tough perimeter looks all season. โšก The Play This line feels inflated by at least 1-2 points based on his limited role in the offense and the defensive pressure he'll face tonight.
Actual: 16Line: 16.5
Jan 30 ยท 9:10 AM ETView on X

Jan 30

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๐Ÿ€Keaton WaglerILL
Lose
Under19.5Points
-120 FanDuel ยท 1u
+11.6% edge
Wagler's usage has been inconsistent lately and this number feels inflated. Taking the under on a role player who's averaging limited minutes.
Jan 29 ยท 2:31 PM ETView on X

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