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Record
42-41-5
Units
-0.56u
ROI
-0.7%
Pending
1
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Mar 8

๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€Jalen Brunson
Pending
Under26.5Points
-110 DraftKings ยท 1u
+8.5% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Brunson's usage has been trending down in recent games while the pace suggests fewer overall possessions than the line anticipates. โšก The Play The model sees clear value on the under with Brunson's recent scoring pattern pointing to a more conservative offensive night.
Mar 8 ยท 10:21 AM ET

Mar 7

๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€Austin ReavesLAL
Win
Under29.5Pts+Asts
-118 DraftKings ยท 1u
+5.7% edgeIndiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Reaves' usage has been surprisingly limited in recent games despite the Lakers' offensive struggles, creating a deflated number here. โšก The Play Indiana's pace-up style actually works against Reaves getting extended burn as the Lakers will lean heavier on their core rotation.
Actual: 24Line: 29.5
Mar 6 ยท 2:36 PM ETView on X
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๐Ÿ€Derrick Jones
Win
Under16.5Pts+Rebs
-102 DraftKings ยท 1u
+12.0% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Jones' extremely limited offensive role and minimal usage creates a narrow ceiling that this line doesn't account for. โšก The Play With such restricted touches and rebounding opportunities in his defensive specialist role, the under presents clear value.
Actual: 15Line: 16.5
Mar 6 ยท 6:30 AM ETView on X

Mar 6

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๐Ÿ€Victor WembanyamaSAS
Lose
Under23.5Points
-108 prop-builder ยท 1u
+6.9% edgeDetroit Pistons @ San Antonio Spurs
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Wemby's minutes are being carefully managed in this spot, and the sportsbooks haven't adjusted quickly enough to his reduced offensive load. โšก The Play The rookie phenom is seeing a more limited role while the coaching staff prioritizes his development over raw scoring output.
Actual: 38Line: 23.5
Mar 5 ยท 2:54 PM ETView on X
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๐Ÿ€Devin Bookerphx
Win
Under10.5Rebs+Asts
-116 DraftKings ยท 1u
+6.0% edgeChicago Bulls @ Phoenix Suns
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Books are overvaluing Booker's peripheral stats against a Bulls team that should keep this game competitive enough to limit his floor general duties. โšก The Play Booker's usage in blowout spots typically shifts toward scoring, leaving rebounds and assists as the afterthought in what projects as a comfortable Suns win.
Actual: 8Line: 10.5
Mar 5 ยท 9:43 AM ETView on X
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๐Ÿ€Cade CunninghamDET
Lose
Under1.53-PT Made
+149 Bookmaker ยท 1u
+5.4% edgeDetroit Pistons @ San Antonio Spurs
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Cunningham's three-point volume has been trending down in recent road games, especially against disciplined defenses like San Antonio. โšก The Play The usage patterns and matchup dynamics strongly favor the under in a game where Detroit will likely lean on interior scoring.
Actual: 4Line: 1.5
Mar 5 ยท 6:34 AM ETView on X

Mar 5

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๐Ÿ€Chet HolmgrenOKC
Lose
Under1.53-PT Made
-151 Bookmaker ยท 1u
+8.4% edgeOklahoma City Thunder @ New York Knicks
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Holmgren's three-point volume has been trending down in recent games while his role shifts more toward interior presence against physical Eastern Conference teams. โšก The Play The big man's limited attempts from deep in this tougher matchup should keep him well under this inflated number.
Actual: 6Line: 1.5
Mar 4 ยท 2:40 PM ETView on X
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๐Ÿ€Kawhi LeonardLAC
Lose
Under27.5Points
-112 DraftKings ยท 1u
+10.6% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Leonard's severely limited usage in his return suggests the Clippers are prioritizing health over production tonight. โšก The Play With restricted minutes and a minimal offensive role, Kawhi stays well under this inflated number.
Actual: 29Line: 27.5
Mar 4 ยท 9:36 AM ETView on X
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๐Ÿ€AJ Green
Push
Under8.5Points
+110 Bookmaker ยท 1u
+7.4% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Green's limited usage in nearly 30 minutes creates a ceiling that the books haven't fully accounted for. โšก The Play With his role trending more toward facilitating than scoring, the under presents clear value tonight.
Mar 4 ยท 6:30 AM ETView on X

Feb 28

๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€P.J. WashingtonDAL
Push
Under7.5Rebounds
+104 Bookmaker ยท 1u
+5.5% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Washington's rebounding numbers are artificially boosted by a few outlier games, but his limited frontcourt role keeps him below this threshold more often than the market realizes. โšก The Play The usage patterns show Washington operating primarily on the perimeter, creating fewer natural rebounding opportunities despite decent floor time.
Feb 27 ยท 9:37 AM ETView on X
๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€Jamal MurrayDEN
Lose
Under29.5Pts+Asts
-114 DraftKings ยท 1u
+10.0% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Murray's reduced minutes and secondary role behind Jokic's dominant usage creates a ceiling that this inflated line doesn't account for. โšก The Play The market is overvaluing Murray's recent flash games while ignoring his limited floor time in what projects as a controlled pace spot.
Actual: 45Line: 29.5
Feb 27 ยท 6:33 AM ETView on X

Feb 27

๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€Brandon MillerCHA
Lose
Under21.5Points
-117 DraftKings ยท 1u
+8.3% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Books are overvaluing Miller's recent hot stretch while ignoring his limited usage in a deeper rotation that caps his ceiling. โšก The Play This number expects too much from a player still finding his spots in an offense that spreads the wealth among multiple scorers.
Actual: 33Line: 21.5
Feb 26 ยท 2:45 PM ETView on X
๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€Jalen JohnsonATL
Push
Under23.5Points
-107 DraftKings ยท 1u
+8.6% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Johnson's scoring has been inconsistent in his expanded role, and this number feels a touch high given his recent offensive struggles. โšก The Play The usage pattern suggests he's more focused on facilitating than hunting his own shot in this matchup.
Feb 26 ยท 9:44 AM ETView on X
๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€Miles BridgesCHA
Win
Under22.5Pts+Rebs
-119 prizepicks ยท 1u
+9.0% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Bridges is operating in a severely reduced role with limited touches, making this total artificially inflated based on his previous season averages. โšก The Play The usage restrictions and decreased court time create a clear path to the under in what should be a competitive game flow.
Actual: 10Line: 22.5
Feb 26 ยท 6:40 AM ETView on X

Feb 26

๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ€Brandon IngramTOR
Win
Under22.5Points
-119 DraftKings ยท 1u
+6.0% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Ingram's usage has been trending down recently while the model projects him falling short of this inflated number. โšก The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees clear value fading Ingram's scoring in what should be a more balanced offensive attack tonight.
Actual: 20Line: 22.5
Feb 25 ยท 2:51 PM ETView on X

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