Free Sports Picks
Every pick posted free on X β AI-powered with verified results. No paywall, no hidden record.
Record
42-41-5
Units
-0.56u
ROI
-0.7%
Pending
2
Mar 8
π
πDavid PastrnakPending
Under3.5Shots On Goal-114 novig Β· 1u
+6.7% edgeBoston Bruins @ Pittsburgh Penguins
π THE EDGE
Pittsburgh's aggressive defensive structure has been limiting opposing star forwards' shot volume in recent home matchups.
β‘ The Play
Pastrnak's shot generation has been trending down against teams that prioritize collapsing on elite scorers like the Penguins do.
Mar 8 Β· 3:26 PM ET
π
πMarco KasperPending
Under1.5Shots On Goal+114 novig Β· 1u
+6.1% edgeDetroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils
π THE EDGE
Kasper's been averaging minimal ice time in his recent call-up, and tonight's pace-heavy matchup against New Jersey typically sees Detroit roll four lines more evenly.
β‘ The Play
The rookie forward's limited deployment and New Jersey's defensive structure create a perfect storm for staying under this number.
Mar 8 Β· 7:21 AM ET
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πSean DurziUTALose
Under1.5Shots On Goal+120 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+11.6% edgeUtah Mammoth @ Columbus Blue Jackets
π THE EDGE
Durzi's shot volume has been trending down lately while the model's been cooking with recent picks, and this line feels a touch generous for his current usage pattern.
β‘ The Play
Banking on the defenseman staying under this number in what projects as a more defensive-minded road matchup for Utah.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Mar 7 Β· 2:24 PM ET
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πDarren RaddyshTBLLose
Under2.5Shots On Goal+136 prop-builder Β· 1u
+7.3% edgeTampa Bay Lightning @ Toronto Maple Leafs
π THE EDGE
Raddysh's defensive role limits his offensive opportunities, and the model's been cooking lately with this exact scenario.
β‘ The Play
Tampa's depth defenseman stays conservative on the road against Toronto's aggressive forecheck, keeping shot attempts minimal.
Actual: 5Line: 2.5
Mar 7 Β· 6:20 AM ET
Mar 7
π
πPierre-Luc DuboisWSHWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+158 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+5.9% edgeWashington Capitals @ Boston Bruins
π THE EDGE
Dubois has been relegated to limited minutes in recent games while the model's been cooking lately with 4 of 5 hitting.
β‘ The Play
Boston's defensive structure at home should keep this skilled center from finding quality shooting lanes in what projects as a lower-event game.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Mar 7 Β· 9:19 AM ET
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πNathan MacKinnonCOLWin
Under3.5Shots On Goal+135 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+6.4% edge
π THE EDGE
MacKinnon's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the model still expects his usual aggressive output.
β‘ The Play
The Avs star is picking his spots more selectively lately, creating value on the under in a spot where the line hasn't caught up.
Actual: 2Line: 3.5
Mar 6 Β· 9:34 AM ETView on X
Mar 4
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πIvan BarbashevVGKLose
Under1.5Shots On Goal+115 DraftKings Β· 1u
+6.2% edgeVegas Golden Knights @ Buffalo Sabres
π THE EDGE
Barbashev's shot volume has been trending down in recent road games, yet this line hasn't adjusted to his more limited offensive role.
β‘ The Play
The model sees a favorable spot to fade Barbashev's shot prop in what projects as a lower-event game script.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Mar 3 Β· 9:41 AM ETView on X
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πElias LindholmBOSWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+140 DraftKings Β· 1u
+9.0% edgePittsburgh Penguins @ Boston Bruins
π THE EDGE
Lindholm's shot volume has been trending down significantly since joining Boston, and tonight's defensive matchup suggests another quiet performance.
β‘ The Play
Taking the under on a player who's been operating in a more limited offensive role against a Pittsburgh team that's been effective at limiting quality chances.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Mar 3 Β· 6:33 AM ET
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πIvan DemidovMTLLose
Under1.5Shots On Goal+101 Caesars Β· 1u
+6.2% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ San Jose Sharks
π THE EDGE
Books are overvaluing Demidov's shot volume in what projects as a defensive-minded road game where Montreal will likely lean on veteran forwards in key situations.
β‘ The Play
The rookie's limited ice time and San Jose's improved shot suppression at home creates a perfect storm for staying under this number.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Mar 3 Β· 1:44 AM ET
Feb 28
π
πMitch MarnerVGKWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+150 FanDuel Β· 1u
+5.3% edge
π THE EDGE
Books are overvaluing Marner's shot volume despite his recent trend toward more playmaking and fewer individual shooting attempts.
β‘ The Play
The model sees significant value fading Marner's shot props when he's been deferring more to linemates in favorable scoring situations.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Feb 27 Β· 2:36 PM ETView on X
Feb 5
π
πIvan DemidovMTLWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+100 DraftKings Β· 1u
+7.2% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ Winnipeg Jets
π THE EDGE
Demidov's limited ice time in his recent call-up suggests the coaching staff is easing him into NHL action against a defensively stingy Jets squad.
β‘ The Play
The rookie's shot volume has been trending down as he adjusts to the pace, making the under the sharp side tonight.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Feb 4 Β· 6:32 AM ETView on X
Feb 3
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πJohn KlingbergSJSPush
Under1.5Shots On Goal+115 DraftKings Β· 1u
+5.7% edge
π THE EDGE
Klingberg's shot volume has been trending down significantly in recent games while the model still expects his usual output.
β‘ The Play
The veteran defenseman's limited power play time and conservative positioning make the under a sharp fade of inflated expectations.
Feb 2 Β· 6:35 AM ETView on X